NIA's Top 10 Predictions for 2011‏ - National Inflation Association (7/1/11) PDF Print E-mail
By National Inflation Association   
Thursday, 06 January 2011 21:14

The National Inflation Association is pleased to announce its top 10 predictions for 2011.
 
1) The Dow/Gold and Gold/Silver ratios will continue to decline.
 
In NIA's top 10 predictions for 2010, we predicted major declines in the Dow/Gold and Gold/Silver ratios. The Dow/Gold ratio was 9.3 at the time and finished 2010 down 15% to 8.1. The Gold/Silver ratio was 64 at the time and finished 2010 down 28% to 46. We expect to see the Dow/Gold ratio decline to 6.5 and the Gold/Silver ratio decline to 38 in 2011. Later this decade, we expect to see the Dow/Gold ratio bottom at 1 and the Gold/Silver ratio decline to below 16 and possibly as low as 10.
 



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Full Catastrophe Banking In 2011 - By Mary Bottari (6/1/11) PDF Print E-mail
Mary Bottari   
Wednesday, 05 January 2011 21:12

BanksterUSA.org

With a $4.7 trillion dollar bailout under their belts with no harm done to their billion-dollar bonuses, don't expect Wall Street bankers to be chastened by the 2008 financial crisis. Below we list eight things to watch out for in 2011 that threaten to rock the financial system and undermine any recovery.

1) The Demise of Bank of America

Wikileaks founder Julian Assange is promising to unleash a cashe of secret documents from the troubled Bank of America (BofA). BofA is already under the gun, defending itself from multiple lawsuits demanding that the bank buy back billions worth of toxic mortgages it peddled to investors. The firm is also at the heart of robo-signing scandal, having wrongfully kicked many American families to the curb. If Assange has emails showing that Countrywide or BofA knew they were recklessly abandoning underwriting standards and/or peddling toxic dreck to investors, the damage to the firm could be irreparable.

2) Robo-signers Wreaking Havoc

With lawsuits abounding, new types of fraud in the foreclosure process are being uncovered daily, including accounting fraud, fake attorneys, destroyed promissory notes and false notarizations. The crisis not only calls into question the legality of untold foreclosures, it also calls into question the value of trillions of dollars worth of mortgage-backed securities held by banks, pension funds, federal, state and local governments. The only government report on the topic by the feisty Congressional Oversight Panel for the TARP acknowledges that "it is possible that ‘robo-signing' may have concealed deeper problems in the mortgage market that could potentially threaten financial stability."



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How High Will Gold Go In 2011? - By Jeff Clark (6/1/11) PDF Print E-mail
Jeff Clark   
Wednesday, 05 January 2011 21:04

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How Much Faith Should We Put In Keynesian Models? - By Robert P. Murphy (6/1/11) PDF Print E-mail
Robert P. Murphy   
Wednesday, 05 January 2011 20:58

Mises Daily

Jim Manzi is a private-sector expert in statistical analysis. He is my favorite commentator on the economics of climate change, because he dove into the IPCC reports and found that the proposed legislative "cures" (cap-and-trade or carbon-tax laws) are arguably worse than the disease, even according to the "consensus" numbers.

Lately, Manzi has been challenging mainstream economists to defend their models, which tout the benefits of fiscal and monetary "stimulus." Manzi has repeatedly asked why he should put any faith in the predictions of these models.

In this article, I'll highlight the hilarious response of Manzi's debate opponent, Karl Smith. In a follow-up article, I'll document another example of misplaced confidence in Keynesian models, courtesy of (you guessed it) Paul Krugman.

Manzi vs. Mainstream Economists


There are several articles in Manzi's archives where he tackles economists on the empirical case for stimulus. Manzi is not himself an economist, let alone an Austrian economist, but nonetheless he brings a refreshing perspective to the surprisingly weak foundation upon which governments and central banks have based their policies.



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Have Events Vindicated Keynesian Models? - By Robert P. Murphy (6/1/11) PDF Print E-mail
Robert P. Murphy   
Wednesday, 05 January 2011 20:55

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